Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000581 0.000663 0.000749 0.000847 0.000955 0.001071 0.001203
2025-11-02 0.000458 0.000570 0.000698 0.000853 0.001035 0.001239 0.001486
2025-11-09 0.000388 0.000515 0.000665 0.000855 0.001087 0.001357 0.001694
2025-11-16 0.000322 0.000452 0.000614 0.000826 0.001094 0.001417 0.001830
2025-11-23 0.000272 0.000404 0.000573 0.000804 0.001103 0.001473 0.001959
2025-11-30 0.000240 0.000373 0.000551 0.000800 0.001133 0.001553 0.002118
2025-12-07 0.000214 0.000348 0.000534 0.000800 0.001165 0.001636 0.002280
2025-12-14 0.000189 0.000322 0.000512 0.000792 0.001183 0.001700 0.002417
2025-12-21 0.000166 0.000297 0.000488 0.000779 0.001194 0.001752 0.002540
2025-12-28 0.000156 0.000289 0.000490 0.000802 0.001254 0.001871 0.002754
2026-01-04 0.000145 0.000279 0.000487 0.000815 0.001301 0.001973 0.002946
2026-01-11 0.000130 0.000261 0.000470 0.000808 0.001317 0.002032 0.003080
2026-01-18 0.000116 0.000243 0.000451 0.000796 0.001326 0.002081 0.003203
2026-01-25 0.000107 0.000233 0.000445 0.000803 0.001363 0.002171 0.003385
2026-02-01 0.000098 0.000222 0.000436 0.000805 0.001391 0.002248 0.003550
2026-02-08 0.000085 0.000201 0.000409 0.000777 0.001373 0.002257 0.003616
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000184 0.000388 0.000755 0.001362 0.002275 0.003696
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000174 0.000378 0.000752 0.001379 0.002336 0.003839
2026-03-01 0.000061 0.000166 0.000370 0.000752 0.001402 0.002404 0.003995
2026-03-08 0.000055 0.000156 0.000358 0.000744 0.001411 0.002451 0.004118
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000146 0.000344 0.000732 0.001412 0.002487 0.004225
2026-03-22 0.000047 0.000145 0.000349 0.000753 0.001471 0.002612 0.004470
2026-03-29 0.000045 0.000141 0.000349 0.000766 0.001514 0.002715 0.004683